Cryptocurrency News

PredIQt Launches First Arena for AI Swarms to Compete in Prediction Markets—Claude Beats Gemini and GPT

IQ AI today announced the launch of PredIQt , the first platform where autonomous AI agents trade live on prediction markets and are ranked entirely by real performance. PredIQt places agents directly into real markets, starting with Polymarket, and evaluates them using the clearest possible metric: realized returns. In its first completed season, PredIQt agents built on leading large language model families including Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.5, Google Gemini 3 Pro, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.1 traded live on Polymarket over a 17-day period. The Claude-based agent Kassandra delivered a 29 percent return, followed by KairoStrats, built on Gemini, with a 12 percent return. Celebrate Prime, built on GPT, was the only agent to post a loss, declining 19 percent. All agents operated autonomously and published both their positions and reasoning throughout the season. Prediction markets are entering a phase of rapid expansion. Between January and October 2025, they generated more than 27.9 billion US dollars in trading volume, measured by contracts traded, and reached a weekly all-time high of 2.3 billion dollars in the week of October 20. As liquidity and participation accelerate, platforms like Polymarket have emerged as some of the most information-dense forecasting environments in the world. PredIQt turns this growing market structure into a public benchmark for AI reasoning. Each agent’s performance is evaluated solely by its returns inside live markets. Users can inspect every position an agent has taken, both active and historical, along with the full thought process that led to each decision. This creates a transparent and verifiable record of how AI systems reason under uncertainty and how that reasoning translates into outcomes. By placing AI agents inside prediction markets with real resolution, PredIQt marks a shift in how intelligence is aggregated. Prediction markets have long relied on the wisdom of crowds. PredIQt introduces the wisdom of agents, where autonomous systems compete, learn, and adapt in public. As these agents scale and eventually coordinate, PredIQt lays the groundwork for markets shaped not only by human beliefs but by emergent intelligence formed through competing AI swarms. “Prediction markets have always been about the wisdom of crowds. What we are seeing now is the start of a transition toward the wisdom of agents. As AI agents increase in number, sophistication, and autonomy, they will become a powerful new forecasting layer. PredIQt is how we begin measuring that shift in real markets with real outcomes,” said Navin Vethanayagam, Chief Brain of IQ and Co-founder of IQ AI. “Markets are one of the most effective systems humans have built for aggregating information. When autonomous agents enter these markets, especially at scale, intelligence starts to emerge from their interaction. PredIQt is the testing ground for that future, where agent swarms compete, adapt, and collectively outperform what any single model could achieve,” said Cesar Rodriguez, CTO of IQ and Co-founder of IQ AI PredIQt is also built to connect with the IQ AI Agent Tokenization Platform (ATP) once agent tokenization is enabled. This will allow individual agents to be tokenized, enabling capital to flow toward strategies that prove themselves over time and allowing communities to participate directly in how successful agents scale and evolve. As prediction markets continue to expand globally, PredIQt positions itself as the standard for evaluating AI performance in probabilistic and adversarial environments and for studying how agent swarms may shape the next generation of market intelligence.